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Spread Tracker (18 November 2011)

18 November 2011

Chart Market Comment (18Nov11) 

Analysis:

The energy complex was mostly down this week, to varying degrees, with the exception of cal-12 API#2 coal, which gained very slightly. Cal-12 German power, cal-12 TFF gas and coal were all characterised by a lack of liquidity, trading within tight ranges. German power’s biggest daily move was 0.6% down from Wednesday to Thursday, to close at €55.20/MWh. Gas also saw tentative moves, losing 1% on Tuesday and 0.8% on Thursday, closing the week-to-Thursday down 2.1% overall, at €25.50/MWh. Coal bucked the trend, albeit on very low volume for the cal-12 contract, inching up 0.5% on Thursday to $117.55/mt.

The clean dark spread was hit by the weaker euro and rising coal prices, losing 2% to close at €10.92/MWh despite cheaper carbon. The clean spark spread was in positive territory at both Wednesday’s and Thursday’s close, finishing at €0.23/MWh on Thursday. That is the first time the clean spark spread has had two consecutive positive closes this year. Continuation of this trend could be enough to kick some life into the calendar contracts in weeks to come.

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